What the prediction markets think will happen in Texas. The races, the teams, the courts and the weather, every price side by side.
San Antonio Spurs1st of 3022%+355
Houston Rockets14th of 302%+4900
Dallas Mavericks17th of 301%+9900
Houston Astros—
Texas Rangers—Prices are the mean of the books quoting each side · a No is the quoted No, never 1 − Yes · dates as served by Genius, politics dates from the page’s own settlement text
Marist's registered-voter survey of September 23, 2026 has Hinojosa 49% to Abbott 46%, but Kalshi prices a Republican winner at 73%, because two likely-voter polls the same week had Abbott ahead and 68% of Marist's own respondents expect him to win.
Texas Predictions staff ·
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Sports dates as served by Genius; politics dates come from each page’s settlement text (Genius serves none).
What prediction markets say about Texas: the odds on the state's races, its clubs' seasons and the questions Texans vote on, read from Texas rather than from a national board.
Texas Predictions is a prediction-market news site for Texas questions, published by Market Movers Media Inc. It reports what exchange prices imply about the state's races, its clubs' seasons and the other questions an exchange has written a contract on, and it takes no side on any of them.
A prediction market is an exchange where a contract on a yes-or-no question, such as which party wins the Texas Senate seat on November 3, 2026, trades until the outcome is known and then pays a fixed amount to the side that was right. Because the price is what traders will pay for that payout, it reads as the probability they assign to the outcome.
From the exchanges that list each contract, supplied to this site by Prediction Genius and shown as percentages. Where Kalshi and Polymarket both price a question, each figure appears under its own name rather than as an average; where one exchange is alone, the page says so; and every board carries the time its prices were last updated.
No: the site reports what a market implies about a Texas question and what the public record says about it, never which side to hold, which exchange to use or which candidate to support, and nothing on it is financial or legal advice. Market Movers Media Inc. has no commercial relationship with any exchange.
The legal status page answers that from the record as of September 23, 2026 and draws no conclusion: no Texas statute, order or court filing naming Kalshi or Polymarket had been located, and the Senate Committee on State Affairs was noticed to take testimony on prediction markets on September 15, 2026. It is next reviewed on October 7, 2026.
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